I'm not entirely sold on your conclusion… only acknowledged people choose for themselves, so the vast majority will choose the easiest and "more trending" technology available.

We've seen this with Skype (which has gained momentum only in the last 3 or 4 years) over MSN, today with people hanging with Hangouts instead of gTalk or any other XMPP and so on…

We need to educate as many friends, family members, and complete strangers on the right approach and attention into the technology's use…